French President and candidate for re-election Emmanuel Macron walks on the beach of Le Touquet, France on Saturday. EPA
French President and candidate for re-election Emmanuel Macron walks on the beach of Le Touquet, France on Saturday. EPA
French President and candidate for re-election Emmanuel Macron walks on the beach of Le Touquet, France on Saturday. EPA
French President and candidate for re-election Emmanuel Macron walks on the beach of Le Touquet, France on Saturday. EPA

Who will win French elections 2022 - Emmanuel Macron or Marine Le Pen?


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Round two of the French presidential elections 2022 takes place this Sunday.

Incumbent President Emmanuel Macron is seeking to repel the threat coming from the far right, spearheaded once again by the resurgent Marine Le Pen.

Elections of this nature are never fought with the gloves on, but this year's French elections have seen divisions over France's response to Covid-19, Islamic terrorism and — above all other considerations — economic inequality.

The National has already explained the timetable for the French presidential election polls and how they work.

The 12 French presidential elections were whittled down to two on April 10 when centrist Mr Macron took the lead with 27.6 per cent of the vote, while Ms Le Pen was second with 23.4 per cent — setting up a rematch of the run-off in 2017, which the current president won by a landslide.

Here, their chances of success are evaluated.

Name: Emmanuel Macron

Party: La Republique En Marche!

*Latest polling (aggregate): 55%

Emmanuel Macron became the youngest president in French history in 2017 when he secured a resounding 66 per cent of the final round vote to see off far-right challenger Marine Le Pen.

All the more remarkable was his centrist La Republique En Marche! party had only just been formed. Previously, Mr Macron had served as economy minister under Socialist president Francois Hollande.

This time round things are a lot closer, as The National columnist Colin Randall wrote after Mr Macron and Ms Le Pen clashed in a fiery debate on Wednesday.

"When the same candidates reached the second round decider in 2017 and took part in a similar debate, Mr Macron was the emphatic winner, his opponent seeming ill-prepared, weak on detail and at times incoherent. On Wednesday night, she was in markedly better form, irritated but unruffled as Mr Macron launched fierce attacks on a range of issues from French membership of the EU and her ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin to Islamism and the environment.

"Mr Macron, by contrast, showed occasional agitation, accusing Ms Le Pen of risking civil war with plans to outlaw the wearing of the veil in all public places, pursuing nationalist policies that would drag France out of the EU and offering no compelling evidence of being able to fund lavish spending and tax concessions intended to ease the cost-of-living crisis.

"As the confrontation began, new soundings put Mr Macron on 56.5 per cent of voting intentions. This would be 10 per cent down on his comfortable 2017 triumph but, even allowing for a margin of error, the likeliest outcome is that he will win a second term at the Elysee Palace."

Name: Marine Le Pen

Party: National Rally

*Latest polling (aggregate): 45%

That Emmanuel Macron's victory is no longer assured is a testament to Marine Le Pen's success in trying to sanitise the reputation of her far-right party. As part of this cleansing, its name was changed from the abrasive National Front to the softer National Rally.

The switch hasn't exactly been reflected in policies, with Ms Le Pen's favoured attack lines of limiting immigration and French nationalism at the forefront of her bid to be elected French president at the third time of asking.

She has also campaigned hard on the French economy, which is seen as the key issue for an electorate increasingly disillusioned by widening inequality and shrinking employment opportunities.

French far-right party Rassemblement National (RN) presidential candidate Marine Le Pen greets people in Berck, northern France on Friday. AFP
French far-right party Rassemblement National (RN) presidential candidate Marine Le Pen greets people in Berck, northern France on Friday. AFP

If she were president, Ms Le Pen said she would think twice about supplying Ukraine with weapons and would oppose energy sanctions against Moscow — for the sake of the Russian people.

She said she would pull France out of Nato’s military command, weakening the western military alliance’s united front amid the Russian war on Ukraine.

*Polls accurate as of April 23

French elections campaigns - in pictures

  • People walk past official campaign posters of French presidential election candidates Marine le Pen and French President Emmanuel Macron, in Paris, France. Reuters
    People walk past official campaign posters of French presidential election candidates Marine le Pen and French President Emmanuel Macron, in Paris, France. Reuters
  • French President Emmanuel Macron, who is running for re-election in the 2022 French election, at a campaign rally in Nanterre, Paris. Reuters
    French President Emmanuel Macron, who is running for re-election in the 2022 French election, at a campaign rally in Nanterre, Paris. Reuters
  • French far-right Reconquete party leader and 2022 presidential election candidate Eric Zemmour (C) throws his arms aloft at the end of a campaign rally at Trocadero in Paris. EPA
    French far-right Reconquete party leader and 2022 presidential election candidate Eric Zemmour (C) throws his arms aloft at the end of a campaign rally at Trocadero in Paris. EPA
  • Far-right Rassemblement National party MP Marine Le Pen takes a selfie with supporters. AFP
    Far-right Rassemblement National party MP Marine Le Pen takes a selfie with supporters. AFP
  • Les Republicains presidential candidate Valerie Pecresse delivers a speech on the campaign trail in the French Caribbean island of Guadeloupe. AFP
    Les Republicains presidential candidate Valerie Pecresse delivers a speech on the campaign trail in the French Caribbean island of Guadeloupe. AFP
  • Ruralist party 'Resistons!' presidential candidate Jean Lassalle is surrounded by supporters before delivering a speech in Toulouse, southern France. AFP
    Ruralist party 'Resistons!' presidential candidate Jean Lassalle is surrounded by supporters before delivering a speech in Toulouse, southern France. AFP
  • Official campaign posters of Marine le Pen and Emmanuel Macron pasted on bulletin boards near the Eiffel Tower in Paris. Reuters
    Official campaign posters of Marine le Pen and Emmanuel Macron pasted on bulletin boards near the Eiffel Tower in Paris. Reuters
  • Hundreds of public servants prepare party political propaganda to be mailed, only days before the first round of the presidential election in France. AFP
    Hundreds of public servants prepare party political propaganda to be mailed, only days before the first round of the presidential election in France. AFP
  • A supporter holds up a placard reading "With You" at an election campaign event for Emmanuel Macron in Paris. Bloomberg
    A supporter holds up a placard reading "With You" at an election campaign event for Emmanuel Macron in Paris. Bloomberg
  • Emmanuel Macron speaks to journalists at the Maison de la Radio in Paris. AFP
    Emmanuel Macron speaks to journalists at the Maison de la Radio in Paris. AFP
  • French far-left party Lutte Ouvriere (LO) presidential candidate Nathalie Arthaud (C) raises her hand at a rally at Zenith concert hall in Paris. AFP
    French far-left party Lutte Ouvriere (LO) presidential candidate Nathalie Arthaud (C) raises her hand at a rally at Zenith concert hall in Paris. AFP
  • Emmanuel Macron sings the French national anthem as he appears on a giant screen at the end of his first campaign meeting at the Paris La Defence Arena in Nanterre. AFP
    Emmanuel Macron sings the French national anthem as he appears on a giant screen at the end of his first campaign meeting at the Paris La Defence Arena in Nanterre. AFP
  • French Socialist Party presidential candidate Anne Hidalgo waves to supporters in Paris. AFP
    French Socialist Party presidential candidate Anne Hidalgo waves to supporters in Paris. AFP
  • French leftist party La France Insoumise presidential candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon delivers a speech in Toulouse. AFP
    French leftist party La France Insoumise presidential candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon delivers a speech in Toulouse. AFP
  • Europe Ecologie Les Verts presidential candidate Yannick Jadot plays football with youngsters at Andre-Malraux park in Nanterre. AFP
    Europe Ecologie Les Verts presidential candidate Yannick Jadot plays football with youngsters at Andre-Malraux park in Nanterre. AFP
  • A supporter of Valerie Pecresse holds a campaign poster in Paris. EPA
    A supporter of Valerie Pecresse holds a campaign poster in Paris. EPA
  • Marine Le Pen gives a speech during a campaign meeting in Stiring-Wendel. AFP
    Marine Le Pen gives a speech during a campaign meeting in Stiring-Wendel. AFP
  • French far-left party Nouveau Parti Anticapitaliste presidential candidate Philippe Poutou delivers a speech at the Cirque d’Hiver in Paris. AFP
    French far-left party Nouveau Parti Anticapitaliste presidential candidate Philippe Poutou delivers a speech at the Cirque d’Hiver in Paris. AFP
  • French Communist Party presidential candidate Fabien Roussel sings at the end of a campaign meeting at the Double Mixte venue in Villeurbanne. AFP
    French Communist Party presidential candidate Fabien Roussel sings at the end of a campaign meeting at the Double Mixte venue in Villeurbanne. AFP
  • Far-right party Debout La France presidential candidate Nicolas Dupont-Aignan speaks to a fisherman in Palavas-les-Flots, southern France. AFP
    Far-right party Debout La France presidential candidate Nicolas Dupont-Aignan speaks to a fisherman in Palavas-les-Flots, southern France. AFP
  • A campaign rally for Eric Zemmour in Paris. AFP
    A campaign rally for Eric Zemmour in Paris. AFP
Maestro
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Tori Amos
Native Invader
Decca

Real estate tokenisation project

Dubai launched the pilot phase of its real estate tokenisation project last month.

The initiative focuses on converting real estate assets into digital tokens recorded on blockchain technology and helps in streamlining the process of buying, selling and investing, the Dubai Land Department said.

Dubai’s real estate tokenisation market is projected to reach Dh60 billion ($16.33 billion) by 2033, representing 7 per cent of the emirate’s total property transactions, according to the DLD.

'The Batman'

Stars:Robert Pattinson

Director:Matt Reeves

Rating: 5/5

What can victims do?

Always use only regulated platforms

Stop all transactions and communication on suspicion

Save all evidence (screenshots, chat logs, transaction IDs)

Report to local authorities

Warn others to prevent further harm

Courtesy: Crystal Intelligence

Our legal consultant

Name: Dr Hassan Mohsen Elhais

Position: legal consultant with Al Rowaad Advocates and Legal Consultants.

The biog

Name: Samar Frost

Born: Abu Dhabi

Hobbies: Singing, music and socialising with friends

Favourite singer: Adele

MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League last-16, second leg:

Real Madrid 1 (Asensio 70'), Ajax 4 (Ziyech 7', Neres 18', Tadic 62', Schone 72')

Ajax win 5-3 on aggregate

MATCH INFO

Uefa Champions League semi-final, first leg
Bayern Munich v Real Madrid

When: April 25, 10.45pm kick-off (UAE)
Where: Allianz Arena, Munich
Live: BeIN Sports HD
Second leg: May 1, Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid

US PGA Championship in numbers

Joost Luiten produced a memorable hole in one at the par-three fourth in the first round.

To date, the only two players to win the PGA Championship after winning the week before are Rory McIlroy (2014 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational) and Tiger Woods (2007, WGC-Bridgestone Invitational). Hideki Matsuyama or Chris Stroud could have made it three.

Number of seasons without a major for McIlroy, who finished in a tie for 22nd.

4 Louis Oosthuizen has now finished second in all four of the game's major championships.

In the fifth hole of the final round, McIlroy holed his longest putt of the week - from 16ft 8in - for birdie.

For the sixth successive year, play was disrupted by bad weather with a delay of one hour and 43 minutes on Friday.

Seven under par (64) was the best round of the week, shot by Matsuyama and Francesco Molinari on Day 2.

Number of shots taken by Jason Day on the 18th hole in round three after a risky recovery shot backfired.

Jon Rahm's age in months the last time Phil Mickelson missed the cut in the US PGA, in 1995.

10 Jimmy Walker's opening round as defending champion was a 10-over-par 81.

11 The par-four 11th coincidentally ranked as the 11th hardest hole overall with a scoring average of 4.192.

12 Paul Casey was a combined 12 under par for his first round in this year's majors.

13 The average world ranking of the last 13 PGA winners before this week was 25. Kevin Kisner began the week ranked 25th.

14 The world ranking of Justin Thomas before his victory.

15 Of the top 15 players after 54 holes, only Oosthuizen had previously won a major.

16 The par-four 16th marks the start of Quail Hollow's so-called "Green Mile" of finishing holes, some of the toughest in golf.

17 The first round scoring average of the last 17 major champions was 67.2. Kisner and Thorbjorn Olesen shot 67 on day one at Quail Hollow.

18 For the first time in 18 majors, the eventual winner was over par after round one (Thomas shot 73).

COMPANY%20PROFILE
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RESULTS

Main card

Bantamweight 56.4kg: Mehdi Eljamari (MAR) beat Abrorbek Madiminbekov (UZB), Split points decision

Super heavyweight 94 kg: Adnan Mohammad (IRN) beat Mohammed Ajaraam (MAR), Split points decision

Lightweight 60kg:  Zakaria Eljamari (UAE) beat Faridoon Alik Zai (AFG), RSC round 3

Light heavyweight 81.4kg: Taha Marrouni (MAR) beat Mahmood Amin (EGY), Unanimous points decision

Light welterweight 64.5kg: Siyovush Gulmamadov (TJK) beat Nouredine Samir (UAE), Unanimous points decision

Light heavyweight 81.4kg:  Ilyass Habibali (UAE) beat Haroun Baka (ALG), KO second round

Living in...

This article is part of a guide on where to live in the UAE. Our reporters will profile some of the country’s most desirable districts, provide an estimate of rental prices and introduce you to some of the residents who call each area home. 

Updated: April 24, 2022, 9:09 AM